Category: Finance

10 July 2016

Japan – Decline & Fall Of The Biggest Bond Market In The World

Bank of Japan has reached the practical limit of its government buying programme in terms of its current purchase programme of „80tn relative to estimated annual JGB net new issuance of „34tn. In this respect, the Japanese central bank has from a potentially monetisation standpoint always defended the integrity of its JGB purchase programme by stressing that it only buys JGBs in the secondary market, […]

8 July 2016

Quant Currency Fund Wins on Pound Plunge by Looking Past Brexit

no matter which kind of analysis you automate with quant trading, it’s safe to say the old school funds no longer cut it. Machines are outpacing humans day after day, week after week and month after month. After all, how many humans can analyse 50 factors and use quantitative models to exploit economic fundamentals dispersion across multiple countries? fundamental analysis is simple to implement. However, it’s […]

5 July 2016

RBA keeps rates unchanged; further information needed to refine assessment

The RBA Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.75 per cent, as widely expected by market participants. The RBA noted: “Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding monetary policy steady would be prudent at this meeting. Over the period ahead, further information should allow the Board to refine its assessment of the outlook for growth and inflation and […]

3 July 2016

China and Other Claimants in the South China Sea: (Politics-Good to know)

The issues of the South China Sea are too trivial to be allowed to spark armed conflict or trans-Pacific confrontation.  They are solvable, if those enmeshed in them are willing to make the effort to imagine and pursue solutions to them.  The parties need urgently to get on with this.  And they deserve American encouragement to do so. Diplomacy on the Rocks: China and Other […]

2 July 2016

Economics: Brexit’s Blow To Globalization

Financial markets do not handle uncertainty well. With the world already facing anemic growth and low levels of investment, any adequate damage-control plan must include prompt resolution of the new rules of the game for Britain and its relationship with the EU. Any delay will cause further frustration and increase the odds of retaliatory policies from EU members. The last thing anyone needs is a […]

29 June 2016

Draghi Warns Brexit Will Lead To “Competitive Devaluations”, Years Of Low Growth

Draghi in full panic-monger mode… (via Bloomberg) *DRAGHI SAID TO SEE BREXIT VOTE CUTTING EURO GDP AS MUCH AS 0.5% *DRAGHI SAID TO SEE GDP GROWTH REDUCTION FOR NEXT THREE YEARS *DRAGHI CONCERNED BREXIT WILL LEAD TO COMPETTIVE DEVALUATIONS *DRAGHI SAYS IT’S TIME TO ADDRESS BANK VULNERABILITIES *DRAGHI SAYS `WE CANNOT AFFORD NOT TO’ FIX BANK VULNERABILITIES *DRAGHI SAYS BREXIT RECESSION WOULD AFFECT FX MARKETS […]

27 June 2016

Brexit: One man’s meat is another’s poison

The expert view is that China will be just fine. “But out of all of the market turmoil and uncertainty will emerge at least one big winner: China,” writes Michael Schuman on the Bloomberg site. A headline in ValueWalk went even further: “Brexit: China Could Be the Biggest Winner of All.” That is not an unreasonable view. China, after all, will have far greater bargaining […]